Pathways

Canada has committed to reducing national greenhouse gas emissions by at least 40 per cent below 2005 levels by 2030 en route to net zero by 2050.

The progress Canada makes toward these goals will also help determine how competitive our economy is in the decades ahead.

This page combines real-world data with projections from the Canadian Climate Institute’s independent modelling of Canada’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan and our 2021 report Canada’s Net Zero Future, to understand:

Do current policies put Canada on track to achieve its emissions reduction goals?

What sectors are leading the way?

Is Canada on or off track in the deployment of low-carbon technologies and other key indicators of progress?

Where data is available, how do provinces stack up in their progress on key indicators?

Emissions Pathways Tracker

Is Canada on track? To reach Canada’s net zero goal, the first step is to reduce annual greenhouse gas emissions to 440 Mt by 2030.

Click here to learn more about our methodology. View the Tracker

Early Estimate of National Emissions

This data set provides early estimates for Canada’s national emissions data, released in advance of the official National Inventory Report.

View our methodology. View the database

Insights

Early Estimate of National Emissions (EENE) shows promising trends for 2021

February 23, 2023

Canada is improving on critical indicators of climate progress, but policy implementation must accelerate.

Why is it so hard to get an electric vehicle in Canada?

December 15, 2022

A federal sales mandate will make it easier for drivers in all provinces to get behind the wheel of a zero-emissions vehicle.

Zeroing in on building codes

December 8, 2022

As B.C.’s example shows, building codes can help provinces make the switch from gas to electric home heating.

Heat pumps can power major emissions reductions from buildings

November 17, 2022

By 2030, more than 10 per cent of home heating in Canada must come from heat pumps —almost double current levels — to align with Canada’s climate targets

Oil and gas emissions will overshoot 2030 goal without tougher regulation

November 4, 2022

Hitting Canada's 2030 climate targets hinges on the rapid and effective implementation of new policy that cuts emissions across the entire oil and gas sector.